Saturday, June 20, 2015

Another test account update



It’s been about a month since I’ve reported on the test accounts. I did add cash to the remaining accounts and have been tracking them weekly for my own purposes. Because the cash hit at different times, tracking percentage changes became more complex. But since they all have had identical amounts invested, simply looking at the totals becomes the best ballpark measure of performance.  So I thought I’d document some of my current observations.
Currently, Folio Investing has the highest balance, hence the best performance of the three market related accounts. I added one more Ready to Go portfolio (this one contains large companies based in Japan). This gave me 5 RTG portfolios and one based on my allocations. In the last three weeks this account has grown 0.98% (compared to 0.12% for the S&P 500 index). All but one of the six portfolios have grown in the past three weeks. The Biotechnology RTG is the clear winner accounting for two-thirds of the account growth.
Betterment has grown 0.30% in the past three weeks. Part of the reason its increase was smaller than Folio Investing was that the additional cash was credited to Betterment faster than the others and it grew more in the first partial week than the other accounts, leading to smaller growth in the subsequent three weeks.
Schwab Intelligent Portfolios has had the worst performance, dropping 0.18% over the last three weeks. That’s particularly disappointing since they had been achieving the best overall performance before the funds were added. They did re-balance the fund with the additional money, but there has been no other re-balancing since the account was opened. This is contrasted to Betterment who attempt to re-balance with every dividend received, no matter how small. Mine and other studies have indicated the frequent re-balancing isn’t particularly useful, but who knows.
Lending Club has grown 0.9% over the last three weeks. Its growth is slow but steady. I have not had any bad debts yet, but about 1% of my notes are late and could be headed toward default. So far this account has an earnings rate of about 15% per year. If the late notes I have go bad the annual return would fall to about 9%. This account is an IRA filtered through a custodian (SDIRA). I’ve been trying to add funds via a transfer from Fidelity for a month. Finally, this week, I had Fidelity stop the initial check and wire the funds. SDIRA has had the transfer for a couple of days and hasn’t transferred the funds to Lending Club yet. Once there, it will be at least a month before the first earnings can be achieved from notes purchased with the new funds. And it will take a long time to convert the new funds to notes. I guess patience will be a virtue here.
I don’t plan on updating this blog regularly, but will post on Twitter when I do, @billlanke.